Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 4.029483 4.326666 4.644562 5.011544 5.425567 5.880645 6.422059
2025-06-01 3.489263 3.892547 4.351102 4.917352 5.606756 6.431079 7.510748
2025-06-08 3.202990 3.666765 4.216787 4.929643 5.848604 7.022900 8.690025
2025-06-15 3.021155 3.529985 4.154166 4.996127 6.135934 7.681358 10.047968
2025-06-22 2.780400 3.292770 3.935612 4.826723 6.075165 7.842186 10.707939
2025-06-29 2.602300 3.118001 3.777865 4.714988 6.069362 8.064562 11.484863
2025-07-06 2.459797 2.977460 3.651395 4.629452 6.083627 8.307455 12.329971
2025-07-13 2.357625 2.882192 3.576777 4.606695 6.182483 8.687423 13.487310
2025-07-20 2.301452 2.843837 3.575386 4.686210 6.441609 9.360081 15.355368
2025-07-27 2.257374 2.818278 3.588453 4.785614 6.739895 10.143326 17.682463
2025-08-03 2.189630 2.755556 3.543500 4.791079 6.881469 10.663942 19.605951
2025-08-10 2.104858 2.664443 3.451609 4.715259 6.874872 10.900216 20.927780
2025-08-17 2.007440 2.554040 3.329836 4.590362 6.782734 10.979932 21.958169
2025-08-24 1.928905 2.467883 3.240461 4.512801 6.769993 11.226366 23.579255
2025-08-31 1.879357 2.421122 3.207261 4.523955 6.919274 11.840973 26.599994
2025-09-07 1.845109 2.394773 3.203050 4.582149 7.162445 12.712853 31.023558
2025-09-14 1.764471 2.296513 3.082800 4.433844 6.989050 12.585049 31.780579
2025-09-21 1.700628 2.220987 2.994742 4.335821 6.906368 12.664514 33.438867
2025-09-28 1.646090 2.157377 2.922499 4.260672 6.862088 12.831746 35.605565
2025-10-05 1.607052 2.115675 2.883000 4.240662 6.928552 13.295699 39.519785
2025-10-12 1.589541 2.105806 2.893584 4.310548 7.190497 14.339916 47.550692
2025-10-19 1.576321 2.101813 2.913162 4.397799 7.500631 15.608930 59.074941
2025-10-26 1.547317 2.072286 2.889421 4.402592 7.627882 16.375677 68.863596